What is Taunusstar?
Taunusstar is a free platform that combines AI-powered S&P 500 forecasting with a disciplined, rule-based multi-asset allocation strategy. Every market day, it publishes a clear LONG or CASH signal for the next 3, 6, and 12 months — derived from institutional-grade machine learning models trained on decades of market data.
Beyond the directional forecast, Taunusstar provides a tactical portfolio of SPY, LQD, and Gold that shifts between a calm 50/30/20 weighting and a crisis-mode 10/60/30 mix. Six transparent stress signals — covering price momentum, the yield curve, volatility, the dollar, gold, and term premium — govern the switch. A dip-buy overlay further fine-tunes equity exposure during modest drawdowns.
The entire strategy is fully deterministic, backtested across 22 years and over 5,400 trading days, with detailed historical results freely available. Users can set up email alerts for rebalances, explore the full methodology on a single page, and verify every rule independently.
Taunusstar is not financial advice, but a data-driven resource for those who want systematic, crisis-tested guidance for S&P 500 exposure and multi-asset risk management.
How to use Taunusstar
- 1
Visit the website to view today’s SPY/LQD/Gold allocation and stress signal dashboard.
- 2
Subscribe to email alerts to be notified of rebalances or regime flips.
- 3
Review the full backtest and methodology to understand the strategy’s rules and historical performance.
- 4
Use the daily LONG/CASH forecasts to inform your S&P 500 investment timing.
- 5
Check the FAQ and terms to learn about model limitations and data sources.
Key features
Daily LONG/CASH signals for S&P 500 across 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons.
Rule-based SPY/LQD/Gold allocation with normal (50/30/20) and defensive (10/60/30) regimes.
Six institutional stress signals (momentum, yield curve, vol, DXY, gold, term premium) drive regime shifts.
Dip-buy overlay boosts equity exposure on -5% to -10% S&P 500 drawdowns.
Full backtest across 22+ years and 5,400+ trading days, including 2008 and 2022 stress tests.
Use cases
- An individual investor uses the allocation signals to reduce portfolio drawdowns during market crises.
- A trader employs the LONG/CASH forecasts to time entries and exits in SPY.
- A retirement planner monitors the stress signals to decide when to shift to a defensive posture.
- A DIY quant backtests the strategy and adapts the rules to their own risk tolerance.
- A financial blogger tracks the daily allocation to illustrate systematic investing to readers.
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Frequently asked questions about Taunusstar
Common questions to help you decide if Taunusstar is right for you.